Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.004975 0.005646 0.006414 0.007365 0.008524 0.009908 0.011710
2025-12-07 0.003947 0.004752 0.005756 0.007128 0.009000 0.011545 0.015410
2025-12-14 0.003402 0.004257 0.005385 0.007035 0.009483 0.013161 0.019520
2025-12-21 0.003124 0.004037 0.005302 0.007266 0.010410 0.015616 0.025903
2025-12-28 0.002945 0.003914 0.005316 0.007613 0.011568 0.018784 0.035234
2026-01-04 0.002741 0.003723 0.005193 0.007710 0.012311 0.021450 0.045282
2026-01-11 0.002537 0.003506 0.004995 0.007640 0.012724 0.023597 0.055744
2026-01-18 0.002382 0.003346 0.004865 0.007658 0.013302 0.026323 0.070505
2026-01-25 0.002213 0.003146 0.004647 0.007477 0.013428 0.028031 0.083876
2026-02-01 0.002038 0.002923 0.004364 0.007137 0.013137 0.028561 0.093458
2026-02-08 0.001882 0.002719 0.004097 0.006791 0.012767 0.028762 0.102179
2026-02-15 0.001811 0.002647 0.004052 0.006876 0.013411 0.032221 0.134164
2026-02-22 0.001705 0.002518 0.003908 0.006767 0.013639 0.034787 0.170111
2026-03-01 0.001595 0.002374 0.003724 0.006556 0.013581 0.036460 0.207131
2026-03-08 0.001512 0.002272 0.003608 0.006473 0.013843 0.039525 0.273540
2026-03-15 0.001474 0.002242 0.003623 0.006679 0.014964 0.046970 0.460190
2026-03-22 0.001449 0.002235 0.003679 0.006988 0.016504 0.058047 0.952074
2026-03-29 0.001402 0.002184 0.003644 0.007073 0.017389 0.067038 1.869881
2026-04-05 0.001344 0.002108 0.003553 0.007011 0.017772 0.073733 3.535343
2026-04-12 0.001298 0.002052 0.003496 0.007027 0.018444 0.083503 9.610643
2026-04-19 0.001239 0.001968 0.003377 0.006867 0.018431 0.088444 23.627966
2026-04-26 0.001172 0.001866 0.003211 0.006564 0.017805 0.087869 40.399426
2026-05-03 0.001108 0.001767 0.003049 0.006257 0.017099 0.086133 64.693949